Newcastle are the division’s top scorers and average 2.3 goals per game at home but they have conceded 1 goal per game at home too, which is more than they’ve let in on their travels. 70% of their matches at home have produced over 2.5 goals in total and they’ll certainly look to take the game to QPR here, which should lead to an open contest. QPR have scored at least once in all of their last 6 matches so we certainly can’t rule out an away goal here. QPR have only managed to keep one clean sheet in their last 16 matches in all competitions. There have been over 2.5 goals in 9 of Newcastle’s last 11 home games with Newcastle scoring the vast majority of them and backing Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 therefore looks a solid bet!
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