Middlesbrough vs Arsenal
17. Apr 2017 on Premier League – Middlesbrough vs Arsenal. Basic analysis suggest this game to be an open yet one-sided game. Lets make some basic conclusions from the past data: Middlesbrough has collected 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games. Last 11 HOME games of Middlesbrough have shown us 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. Their last HOME game was on 8. April against Burnley and it ended with draw (0-0). Looking at the last 20 games of Arsenal we see 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses. Last 12 AWAY games of Arsenal show us 4 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses. Most recent AWAY game they had was on 10. April against Crystal Palace and this one ended with home win (3-0). Taking all of this into consideration, we see Middlesbrough being somewhat superior and probably wins the match.
It is a game between Low ranking team Middlesbrough and Medium ranking team Arsenal. Middlesbrough‘s last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. Arsenal AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Middlesbrough‘s scoring ability is 1 goals scored per game vs Arsenal‘s 3.2. Defensive performance shows Middlesbrough with 1.2 and Arsenal with 1.3 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say the victory of Arsenal as they have a big advatage over Middlesbrough.
Last 20 games of Middlesbrough show us 8 Over 2.5 Goals and 12 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 20 matches of Arsenal have seen 16 Over 2.5´s and 4 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Middlesbrough it shows us 5 Overs and 5 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Arsenal. Arsenal has had 9 Over 2.5´s and 1 Under 2.5´s in their last 10 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Middlesbrough. Middlesbrough scores an average 1.18 goals each game at home stadium while Arsenal has been scoring 1.83 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 3.01 goals per match between both teams. Middlesbrough concedes 1.09 goals on average and Arsenal 2.08 for a total of 3.17 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 3.1 goals per match. History shows that 40% of games end Over 2.5 for Middlesbrough and 80% for Arsenal. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it will be a sure OVER 2.5 game.
Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Middlesbrough‘s last 20 games, we see 6 ´both teams scored´ and 14 ´only one team/no score´. From Arsenal‘s last 20 games 12 have seen both teams scoring and 8 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Middlesbrough had 4 BTTS YES and 6 NO’s. For Arsenal, we have seen 6 BTTS YES and 4 NO’s. There is a 45% chance of Middlesbrough scoring in this game, the percent for Arsenal is 95% . Probability of conceding a goal is 60% for Middlesbrough and 65% for Arsenal. Looking at the stats above, it could be both teams scoring.
More data and stats @ https://hintwise.com/prediction95655/Middlesbrough+vs+Arsenal